Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis
by Richards J. Heuer · first published 2010
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…to the channels we're unaware of that use the same mechanics. The intelligence community has a body of knowledge on this subject. Richard Heuer and Randolph Pherson's work might interest HN members: "Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis". "Thinking Fast and Slow" has been mentioned here quite often.
on “Ask HN: How to avoid being psychologically manipulated by the media?” ↗Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis (Randolph H. Pherson, Richards J. Heuer Jr.) I am not an intelligence analyst, but this book is very insightful on thinking about your thinking.
on “Ask HN: Which books have made you a better thinker and problem solver?” ↗The book "Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis" by the same author is more recent and goes into details and applications. They go over many biases and attentional phenomena, tools to prevent or mitigate, visualization techniques to address problems…
on “Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (2007)” ↗You'll probably find some transferable ideas and methods for your work in "Psychology of Intelligence Analysis" and the follow up "Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis".
on “How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is?” ↗Not specific to detective books, but nearly identical concepts: The Thinkers Toolkit - this has some good techniques for breaking down problems and how to structure your questions. Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis - This is I guess more of a textbook for teaching people how to structure analysis and provide some insights in how to approach and analyze different problems.
on “How to Think Like a Detective” ↗How does this compare to the authors newer book "Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis" (2015) (which unlike the linked book is available at my local library)
on “Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)” ↗…are your thoughts on Richards Heuer's work[0] on empirical methodologies to eliminate as much cognitive bias from analysts' assessments as possible (I've read a few techniques from his most recent book "Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis" but haven't read any of his earlier "Psychology of Intelligence Analysis" book). You mention burden of proof being lower for them than in police work, which might make sense given that it's a field where…
on “Wilderness of Mirrors” ↗