A treatise on probability
by John Maynard Keynes · first published 1921
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> A good book on the topic is "Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk". I wouldn't recommend that book. I would rather recommend reading A Treatise on Probability by John Maynard Keynes... which is insightful and genius like most of his work. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Treatise_on_Probability Some parts of Fooled by Randomness are also insightful (before…
on “The silence of risk management victory” ↗You can download A Treatise on Probability by John Maynard Keynes from Guttenberg http://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/32625 Although I agree on the Laplace book mentioned already as well.
on “Suggest good sites/books on probability” ↗There are established theories of probability that have nothing to do with ergodicity. See for example: Laplace - Théorie analytique des probabilités - 1812 Keynes - A Treatise on Probability - 1921 Jeffreys - Theory of Probability - 1939 Savage - The Foundations of Statistics - 1954 de Finetti - Teoria delle Probabilità - 1970
on “What is ergodicity? (2016)” ↗…philosophy of probability here is the review: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2927587 "An Examination of the Fundamental Reasons Why Frank Ramsey Failed in His Reviews of J M Keynes's a Treatise on Probability"
on “Frank Ramsey: A Genius by All Tests for Genius” ↗