Pandemic
by Sonia Shah · first published 2016
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2HN commenters
2021–2026first – last mentioned
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Scientists agree that a pathogen is likely to cause a global pandemic in the near future. But which one? And how? Over the past fifty years, more than three hundred infectious diseases have either newly emerged or reemerged. Ninety percent of epidemiologists expect that one of them will cause a deadly pandemic sometime in the next two generations. It could be Ebola, avian flu, a drug-resistant superbug, or something completely new. While we can't know which pathogen will cause the next pandemic, by unraveling the story of how pathogens have caused pandemics in the past, we can make predictions
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…1/3 of children dieing within five years are remarkably not unhappier than one where only 0.2% die. The right scale is not years or decades but maybe centuries. I recently read the powerhouse book “Pandemic” by Sonia Shah, among whose amazing ideas is a history of the ideas of medicine and germ theory in the last few hundred years. As idiotic as the Covid responses have been, they were way way better, not…
on “Ask HN: Are people optimistic about the future?” ↗I'm currently reading Pandemic by Sonia Shah (see also her The Fever on malaria): * https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250118004 * https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23847947-pandemic In it she mentions monkeypox: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monkeypox_virus…
on “How smallpox claimed its final victim” ↗…environment. Ones grandchildren are more likely to survive the successor plague than you are, hence a population with excessively long life would have died out. I think the evidence was from long lived trees? (Pandemic by Sonia Shah).
on “Why is the liver so weirdly regenerative?” ↗